Saturday 12 February 2022

Sri-Lanka - Will it be the Next Singapore or the Next North Korea?

 


The Rajapaksa brothers delivering Prosperity and Splendour!


“The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists” Ernest Hemingway

 

The Rajapaksa regime has blamed the Covid pandemic for Sri-Lanka’s economic problems. However, this is just another deception of the discredited and incompetent regime.

Sri-Lanka faced a food shortage in 1952. It agreed a barter arrangement with China to get rice in return for rubber – because Sri-Lanka did not have enough foreign currency reserves.

Late last year, it agreed with Iran to pay off debt using tea - because Sri-Lanka does not still have enough foreign currency reserves!

Sri-Lanka has been under a state of emergency since 1971. In the early 1970s, the economy collapsed and it faced food shortages.

The Rajapaksa brothers control most of the important ministries and are involved in massive corruption and fraud.

The Rajapaksa brothers are also suspected War Criminals alongside many members of the military.

Successive Sri-Lankan regimes have printed money and mismanaged the economy. In 1950, one US dollar bought Rs 5.00. Today, one US dollar can buy more than Rs 200.00

Sri-Lanka is now facing bankruptcy and it recently borrowed US $200 million from Bangladesh. The Sri-Lankan regime is going on begging tours to various countries.

 

Fake Promises and Pipe Dreams

In 1978, JR Jayawardena promised to make Sri-Lanka the next Singapore and failed to deliver! Instead, he centralized power by changing the constitution and he was responsible for the civil war that lasted for more than 25 years.

After failing to become the next Singapore, in 2009 Mahinda Rajapaksa promised to make Sri-Lanka a Wonder of Asia!

After failing to become a Wonder of Asia, last year, the Rajapaksa brothers promised to deliver Prosperity and Splendour.

The Rajapaksa brothers are now delivering Prosperity and Splendour to themselves while ordinary people starve!

Secret files reveal Rajapaksa ruling family member and husband used secret companies to stash riches around the world:

https://www.icij.org/investigations/pandora-papers/sri-lanka-rajapaksa-family-offshore-wealth-power/



Bankrupt Economy

Sri-Lanka’s current economic problems are not new. These can be traced back to numerous blunders and state-sponsored terrorism of successive Sri-Lankan regimes since 1948.

Sri-Lanka faced a food shortage and an economic crisis in 1952. It signed an agreement with China to get rice in return for rubber.

https://ceylontoday.lk/news/hard-road-to-sino-ceylon-rubber-rice-pact

In December last year, Sri-Lanka agreed to offer tea to Iran to settle its debt of US $251 million.

Sri Lanka plans to pay off Iran oil debt with tea:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-59753873


Sri-Lanka’s current economic problems were predictable and predicted, as shown here in an article published in 2013:

https://sri-lankahumanrights.blogspot.com/2013/04/why-sri-lanka-will-become-skint-lanka.html

Sri-Lanka has been busy printing money! 

From December 2019 to August 2021, Sri Lanka's money supply increased by 2.8 trillion rupees - a massive 42% increase, while the economy grew only 2% during the same period!


https://asia.nikkei.com/Economy/Sri-Lanka-s-economy-seen-as-a-ticking-time-bomb

https://www.dailynews.lk/2021/12/13/business/267142/state-owned-enterprise-losses-mount-staggering-rs-12-trillion

Sri Lanka on brink of sovereign bond default, warn investors:

https://www.ft.com/content/09e1159f-9c45-4379-b862-98cb5e30a4da


State of Emergency

Sri-Lanka has experienced never-ending conflicts and violence – all in the name of Buddha!

Sri-Lanka faced an economic collapse in the 1970s.

The country was crippled by debt.  

Sri Lanka, Short of Food, Faces an Economic Crisis:

https://www.nytimes.com/1974/05/13/archives/sri-lanka-short-of-food-faces-an-economic-crisis-people-are-well.html

Since 1971, Sri Lanka has been in a constant state of emergency with the exception of very brief periods. The state has demonstrated an immense penchant towards emergency laws in responding to crises such as communal riots, natural disasters and economic problems.

A state of emergency was declared in 1971 during the first JVP insurrection. Unemployed Sinhalese launched a revolt against the government.

Under a state of emergency, successive Sri-Lankan regimes carried out mass murders and enforced disappearances while pretending to be a peaceful Sinhala Buddhist paradise!

There are mass graves all over the country.

Sri-Lanka has the second highest number of disappeared people in the world after Iraq.


The Deceptions of the Rajapaksa Regime

The Rajapaksa regime has repeatedly claimed that asking the IMF for assistance would be against the sovereignty of the country!

However, Sri-Lanka has asked the IMF for help 16 times in the last 52 years. The frequency of Sri Lanka's IMF programs suggests a high degree of macroeconomic instability and poor management of the economy.

Now the regime is flip-flopping on going to the IMF.  It will be forced to go to the IMF soon!

The regime is scared to go to the IMF because it will be required to implement austerity measures and be forced to reveal the actual amount of foreign debt.

Countries such as Greece, India, Indonesia and South Korea have asked the IMF for assistance without losing their sovereignty! A bankrupt banana republic like Sri-Lanka cannot talk about sovereignty while people starve!

Last year, the regime introduced organic farming overnight and banned the import of chemical fertiliser. It claimed that the use of chemical fertiliser was damaging to health.

The regime not only banned the import of chemical fertiliser, but also banned numerous other items, such as cars, motorbikes and consumer electronics goods.

The real reason for banning the import of chemical fertiliser is because the country has less than US $3 billion in foreign reserves. This is woefully low compared to other countries as shown below:

 

Country

Population

GDP (PPP)

GDP per

Foreign

Million

US $ Bn

Person (PPP)

Reserve

US $

US $ Bn

Malaysia

33

978

27,000

110

Singapore

6

600

100,000

400

Taiwan

23

1,400

55,000

500

Sri-Lanka

22

300

13,000

3

Sources: IMF/World Bank

As a result of shortages of fertiliser, rice production is expected to fall by more than 50% this year. The regime is now begging China, India and Myanmar for rice and other food items!

After working against India for many years, it is now begging India for loans and credit.

It has also borrowed US $200 million from Bangladesh.

The Rajapaksa Regime has been involved in anti-Muslim propaganda. It has also encouraged Sinhalese extremists and thugs to attack Muslims and loot businesses owned by Muslims.

The regime forced Muslims to cremate the bodies of people who died of Covid. It claimed that burying bodies would contaminate ground water!

More than 190 countries have allowed the burial of bodies.

World-renowned virologist Prof Malik Peiris, has told the BBC the following:

"Covid-19 is not a waterborne disease, and I haven't seen any evidence to suggest it spreads through dead bodies.”

The regime recently went on a begging trip to the Middle East but returned empty- handed!

Sri Lanka forcibly cremates Muslim baby sparking anger:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-55359285

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/after-easter-sunday-attacks-muslims-face-boycotts-and-violence-in-sri-lanka/2019/07/06/3e4a405a-91f6-11e9-956a-88c291ab5c38_story.html

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/12/sri-lankas-leader-promises-unite-country-191208102913348.html

https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/trouble-brews-post-election-sri-lanka-191208094903589.html


The Sinhalese Chickens are Coming Home to Roost

Since 1948, successive Sri-Lankan regimes have used anti-Tamil and anti-Muslim propaganda to win elections by fooling the Sinhalese peasants.

Businesses owned by Tamils and Muslims have been looted repeatedly with the collusion of the state. No-one has been brought to justice for looting, murders and state-sponsored terrorism that have been carried out since the 1970s.

After 74 years of state-sponsored terrorism and violence, the country is now facing bankruptcy.

It will take at least ten years to fix the bankrupt economy provided that the right people are brought in to implement the right policies. It is highly unlikely that Sri-Lanka will have a government run by competent and honest people in the foreseeable future. Therefore, Sri-Lanka will remain as a failed state for a very long time - joining other failed states, such as North Korea, Myanmar and Somalia.


 

Here are Lee Kwan Yew’s views of Sri-Lanka:

https://sri-lankahumanrights.blogspot.com/2013/03/how-incompetent-leaders-can-screw.html


A fascinating speech by Lee Kwan Yew at Harvard University 

For Third World Leaders: Hope or Despair?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pCEYJFpwydw




Useful Links:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/climate-and-people/sri-lankan-families-go-hungry-cost-food-skyrockets/

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/02/covid-crisis-sri-lanka-bankruptcy-poverty-pandemic-food-prices

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/12/1/sri-lanka-orders-probe-into-mystery-cooking-gas-explosions

https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2021/11/17/as-food-and-energy-prices-soar-sri-lankans-go-without

https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2022/1/19/sri-lankas-dilemma-pay-off-debt-or-pay-for-milk-meds-and-gas

https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-warned-on-debt-default-bombshells-by-expert-in-argentina-greece-crises-86731/

https://www.eastasiaforum.org/2022/01/19/the-rajapaksas-to-blame-for-sri-lankas-disastrous-2021/

https://www.vaticannews.va/en/world/news/2022-02/sri-lanka-religious-leaders-ranjith-division-economic-crisis.html





23 comments:


  1. I have read a number of articles published by leading news organizations. Not a single article gave the context to the current economic problems facing Sri-Lanka.

    What you have published is very good, as the article provides details on the past economic and political mistakes, and man-made disasters.

    Comparing countries such as Singapore and Taiwan show the incompetence of the Sri-Lankan political class and why some countries fail.


    ReplyDelete
  2. The Rajapaksa regime will continue to fool everyone until it is removed from power.

    It has a long record of deception.

    https://www.colombotelegraph.com/index.php/eu-parliament-calls-for-suspension-of-gsp-as-noose-tightens-internationally-on-gota-regime/

    https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/explained-significance-of-the-200-million-currency-swap-bangladesh-has-approved-for-sri-lanka-7333158/


    https://www.ft.lk/cartoon/Cartoon-28-05-2021/10494-718456


    ReplyDelete
  3. The Rajapaksa regime is capable of deception, fraud and violence.

    https://economynext.com/easter-sunday-bombshell-at-sri-lanka-supreme-court-90648/

    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/6/25/truth-will-prevail-sri-lankan-criminal-investigator-after-bail

    ReplyDelete

  4. The Sri-Lankan regime is hoping that tourists and foreign investors will come and they can avoid the impending economic disaster!

    Tourists and foreign investors are not going to a country that has shortage of food, fuel and medicine!

    The regime is deluded!

    The regime and their supporters are reaping what they sowed!

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/02/milk-sachets-chicken-fuel-basics-slip-out-of-reach-for-sri-lankans-as-economic-crisis-bites

    https://www.newsfirst.lk/2022/03/01/fuel-crisis-brings-sri-lanka-to-its-knees/

    ReplyDelete
  5. The dodgy Rajapaksa regime has lifted the ban on Covid-19 burials as it needs to beg Muslim countries for money and support at the United Nations Human Rights Council!

    https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-ends-controversial-limit-on-covid-19-burials-91213/

    ReplyDelete
  6. The Rajapaksa regime continues to deliver prosperity and splendor by making the Sinhalese to queue day and night for basic items!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A1TCWrdHCpw


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VoUFNiYOuJQ&t=12s


    ReplyDelete
  7. After talking BIG about sovereignty and refusing to seek help from the IMF, the bankrupt regime is now going to the IMF to beg for money!

    The IMF should give them strong medicine!

    https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/exclusive-sri-lanka-start-talks-with-imf-debt-restructuring-sources-2022-03-11/

    ReplyDelete
  8. In the 2019 Presidential election, Gotabaya Rajapaksa was presented to the Sinhalese as a combination of Lee Kuan Yew and Mahathir bin Mohamad!

    In fact, he is very similar to the character Frank Spencer in the British comedy, Some Mothers Do 'Ave 'Em.

    Here is a video:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ysCNXBbLC-U

    It will be interesting to see how his brother Basil, who failed GCE A/Level exams, engages with the IMF on subjects such as Economics and Finance!

    https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2022/3/15/sri-lanka-reverses-course-seeks-imf-help-report

    ReplyDelete
  9. Tourists who to Sri-Lanka should take food, drinks, fuel, medicine, etc., as advised by the Canadian and UK governments!


    https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/travel/travel-news/sri-lankas-forex-crisis-leads-to-a-tourism-crisis/as90214899.cms

    ReplyDelete
  10. After electing the war-criminals, Sinhalese are now complaining!

    Sri Lanka is on the brink of bankruptcy:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QEM9R2PZUw8

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yv-3JWZnUXE

    Where are the fans of the war-criminals?

    ReplyDelete
  11. In 1987, India signed the Indo-Lanka accord.

    Successive Sri-Lankan regimes have failed to fully implement the accord so far!

    They have been fooling India for several decades!

    India has made a big mistake by offering the Rajapaksa regime a lifeline.

    Without the US $1 billion credit, the regime would have collapsed by now!

    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/3/18/sri-lanka-secures-1bn-credit-line-from-india-as-imf-signals-help

    ReplyDelete
  12. After working against India for many years, the Rajapaksa regime is now begging India for money.

    The regime is now kissing the feet of India’s Finance and Foreign Ministers who are both Tamils!

    https://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-usd-billion-line-credit-sri-lanka-7825160/

    If India refuses to provide any help, the Rajapaksa regime will implode soon!

    India should follow the example of Middle Eastern countries, as they refused to provide any help to the Sinhala nationalist regime that propagates violence against Hindus, Muslims and Christians.

    Sri Lanka hardline group calls for halal boycott

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-21494959

    ReplyDelete
  13. Sri Lanka has cancelled school exams for millions of students after running out of printing paper, as the country contends with its worst financial crisis since 1948.

    People should not worry, because the Rajapaksa brothers have done well by not passing any exams! They have managed to reach the top without any qualifications!

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/20/sri-lanka-cancels-school-exams-over-paper-shortage-as-financial-crisis-bites

    ReplyDelete
  14. On 03 March, the war criminal stated that there would be no power cuts from 05 March.

    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/3/3/sri-lanka-president-says-no-more-power-cuts-after-march-5

    However, power cuts are still being implemented and people are still queuing for food and fuel and some dying while waiting for long hours, as shown here:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XHN1rVPzY-M

    ReplyDelete
  15. Sri-Lanka is run like a typical third-world corner shop!

    The Sinhalese are now paying the price for all the evil things they have done over the last 70 years!

    It is karma!


    Sri Lanka mulls closure of embassies amid financial crunch

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hogCSrYkPtw


    Sri Lanka's growing economic crisis; no exam papers and shuttered embassies

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFTmA2rCL44

    ReplyDelete
  16. The Rajapaksa brothers are working tirelessly to deliver prosperity and splendor!

    https://www.ndtv.com/video/news/news/sri-lanka-crisis-embarrassed-to-be-begging-bowl-ndtv-reports-from-crisis-hit-sri-lanka-626206

    https://news.sky.com/story/sri-lanka-faces-worst-ever-economic-crisis-triggering-food-and-fuel-shortages-and-protests-12577375


    Let us hope that they rule Sri-Lanka for the next 50 years!

    ReplyDelete
  17. It is payback time for the Rajapaksa brothers and those who voted for them!

    The Rajapaksa regime is no different from other evil regimes such as Saddam Hussain, Gaddafi and Pol Pot!

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-60950266

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/26/tamils-fear-prison-and-torture-in-sri-lanka-13-years-after-civil-war-ended


    “The world is a dangerous place to live, not because of the people who are evil, but because of the people who do not do anything about it.” Albert Einstein

    ReplyDelete
  18. The Rajapaksa regime is on its knees and it is digging in by declaring a state of emergency and imposing a curfew.

    Sri-Lanka is supposed to be a democracy!

    Sri Lanka imposes state of emergency amid protests

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-60962185

    The regime is weak and bankrupt and can be toppled easily.

    The regime should be chased out of the country!

    Once they are out of the country, most members of the regime will face arrest for war crimes.

    War criminals can run, but cannot hide!

    UN Human Rights Council urges Sri Lanka war crimes court

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-34266471

    Sri Lanka tests UN's patience on human rights

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-60739120

    ReplyDelete
  19. The Rajapaksa regime’s hope of ruling the country forever by building a dynasty is evaporating fast!

    Gotabaya and Mahinda will cling on to power as long as possible, because once they are removed from their positions, they will have problems travelling abroad as they are both suspected war criminals!

    The regime is now fighting for its survival!

    In crisis shake-up:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L16nMpnpCHI

    ReplyDelete
  20. Sinhalese chickens are coming home to roost!

    Sinhalese War Criminals and Fraudsters can run, but cannot hide!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xq3TN9xDkpU

    https://www.hirunews.lk/english/303954/mp-sanath-nishanthas-house-set-on-fire-video

    https://www.newsfirst.lk/2022/05/09/ruling-party-mp-amarakeerthi-athukorala-killed-in-clashes-several-properties-vandalized/




    ReplyDelete
  21. They have been fooling the world by pretending to be a peaceful Sinhala Buddhist paradise!

    Now the whole world knows how violent the Sinhalese are. They are the same as the Burmese!

    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/5/9/sri-lanka-govt-supporters-attack-protesters-demolish-tents

    https://www.newsfirst.lk/2022/05/09/ruling-party-mp-amarakeerthi-athukorala-killed-in-clashes-several-properties-vandalized/

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JsRx9j3m1RY

    ReplyDelete
  22. The evil behaviour of the Rajapaksa brothers and their cronies has bankrupted the country!

    https://www.srilankacampaign.org/remembering-mullivaikkal-13-years-later/

    Sinhalese had no issue voting for them just over two years ago.
    It will take at least a decade to recover - provided that they are prepared to go through severe economic pain for many years by implementing the right economic policies.

    ReplyDelete
  23. Sinhalese war criminals are on the run after bankrupting the country!

    Sinhalese have been fooled again by the Rajapaksa brothers.

    Let’s hope that they finally realize that crime does not pay!

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jul/12/sri-lanka-president-gotabaya-rajapaksa-fails-attempt-flee-airport

    Sri Lanka protesters 'will occupy presidential palace until leaders go'

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8wJ-wXNDfK8

    ReplyDelete